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Interview practice

IMC Trading-style probability & estimation practice

A market maker founded in Amsterdam, trading on exchanges worldwide with desks in Chicago, Sydney and Mumbai.

What this assessment looks like

Expected value and probability under time pressure: dice, cards and urn setups, ranking events by likelihood, and order-of-magnitude estimation questions with no clean closed form.

  • Expected value computed fast and used to make a decision
  • Conditional probability and Bayes updates without formal notation
  • Ranking likelihoods rather than computing them exactly
  • Fermi estimation: decomposing an impossible question into three easy ones

Train it here

  • Likelihood Ranking - Order events from most to least likely - the exact screen-question format.
  • Fermi Estimation - Piano tuners in Chicago, atoms in a body - scored on order of magnitude.
  • Quitters Never Lose - A casino stopping-strategy game that is secretly a martingale lesson.
  • Tail Risk - Rare events and fat tails - where naive expected value goes wrong.

Also reported at IMC Trading

80-in-8 mental math · Number sequences · Market making · Quant developer coding

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Outcry is not affiliated with IMC Trading and has no access to their assessment content. This page describes formats candidates publicly report, and the drills here train the underlying skills - they are not the firm’s questions.